Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
94 North Dakota St. 0.0%   22 - 9 12 - 4 22 - 9 12 - 4 +5.0      +1.3 140 +3.7 80 57.4 332 +4.0 109 +1.9 3
107 South Dakota St. 100.0%   14   22 - 9 13 - 3 22 - 9 13 - 3 +4.2      +7.1 30 -2.9 255 63.0 269 +4.5 105 +4.5 2
176 Western Illinois 0.0%   20 - 8 13 - 3 20 - 8 13 - 3 -0.6      -4.7 289 +4.1 67 52.4 347 +2.1 138 +5.5 1
206 Oakland 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 6 14 - 16 10 - 6 -2.2      +2.8 106 -5.0 302 74.1 50 -0.9 189 -1.0 4
242 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   14 - 17 7 - 9 14 - 17 7 - 9 -4.6      -2.6 241 -2.0 235 68.2 153 -5.0 244 -6.3 5
247 South Dakota 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 11 8 - 20 5 - 11 -5.0      +1.9 126 -7.0 329 70.9 100 -8.3 296 -9.9 8
318 UMKC 0.0%   7 - 24 5 - 11 7 - 24 5 - 11 -10.4      -6.1 307 -4.3 288 64.7 234 -11.0 314 -8.9 7
322 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 10 10 - 19 6 - 10 -11.0      -0.4 182 -10.6 345 81.2 5 -7.3 282 -6.9 6
332 IUPUI 0.0%   4 - 26 1 - 15 4 - 26 1 - 15 -13.7      -3.2 259 -10.4 344 67.6 169 -14.8 340 -19.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
North Dakota St. 3.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Western Illinois 1.0 100.0
Oakland 4.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 5.0 100.0
South Dakota 7.0 100.0
UMKC 7.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 6.0 100.0
IUPUI 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
North Dakota St. 12 - 4 100.0
South Dakota St. 13 - 3 100.0
Western Illinois 13 - 3 100.0
Oakland 10 - 6 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 - 9 100.0
South Dakota 5 - 11 100.0
UMKC 5 - 11 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 6 - 10 100.0
IUPUI 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
North Dakota St.
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Western Illinois 100.0% 100.0
Oakland
Purdue Fort Wayne
South Dakota
UMKC
Nebraska Omaha
IUPUI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 30.8 64.4 4.7
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.4% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oakland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 13.4% 0.1 86.6 13.4
Sweet Sixteen 3.1% 0.0 96.9 3.1
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0